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Higher Supply And Weaker Demand Put Downward Pressure Industrial Property Rents Colliers

Posted on February 5, 2025

Markets in Singapore

According to a report by Colliers in February, the prices and rents of industrial properties in Singapore are expected to moderate this year due to a higher supply and weaker demand. The firm predicts that both the annual growth in rental rates and property prices will be between 0% to 2% in 2025, compared to the 3.5% growth seen in 2024.

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This prediction is based on JTC’s 4Q2024 data, which indicates a slowdown in the market. The JTC All Industrial rental index continued to grow for the 17th consecutive quarter in 4Q2024, with a 0.5% increase quarter-on-quarter. Although this brings the total growth for the year to 3.5%, it is a significant decline from the 8.9% growth seen in 2023. Similarly, the price index also saw a growth of 0.5% in 4Q2024, but this is lower than the 1.2% growth seen in the previous quarter. Overall, industrial property prices only rose by 2.1% in 2024, which is less than half of the 5.1% increase seen in the year before.

Colliers also reports that there will be a surge in the supply of industrial space this year, with over 2.5 times more supply than the previous year. This is expected to continue until 2026 when it will gradually taper off. This increase in supply has caused an imbalance in the market, with some segments seeing slower pre-commitments or completed projects with lower occupancy rates. Consequently, there is less pressure for companies to commit to higher rental rates.

Furthermore, the report states that occupiers are exercising more caution due to high interest rates and increasing operating costs, which is also contributing to the slowdown in rental growth. Additionally, the uncertainty brought about by heightened trade protectionism could potentially impact business confidence and investment decisions.

On a positive note, Colliers believes that demand for industrial properties will be supported by the semiconductor, logistics, and advanced manufacturing sectors. As policies become clearer and market sentiments improve, the firm also expects industrial leasing activities to gradually increase. Meanwhile, with the higher supply and projected moderation in rents, this could be a favorable year for tenants as they have more options available to them. The availability of new industrial developments with modern specifications may also encourage businesses to relocate from older, outdated manufacturing spaces.

Overall, it seems that this year may be a challenging one for the industrial property market in Singapore. As supply continues to outpace demand, prices and rents are expected to moderate. However, with certain sectors still showing strong demand and the potential for an improvement in market sentiment, the industrial property market remains a viable investment option.

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